Your numbers

Current Age 30
Target Retirement Age 65
Annual Expenses ? $50,000
Current Savings ? $50,000
Expected Annual Return ? 7%
Safe Withdrawal Rate ? 4%

Your Coast FIRE number

Coast FIRE Number

Full FIRE Target
Gap
Coast Age
Years Left
Savings progress to Coast
Enter your numbers to see progress

How it works

The calculation has three steps:

1. Full FIRE Target

Full FIRE Number = Annual Expenses ÷ SWR
Example: $50,000 ÷ 0.04 = $1,250,000

2. Years to Retirement

Years = Target Retirement Age − Current Age
Example: 65 − 30 = 35 years

3. Coast FIRE Number

Coast FIRE Number = Full FIRE ÷ (1 + r)years
Example: $1,250,000 ÷ 1.0735 = $117,000

Once your portfolio hits your Coast FIRE number, you can stop saving entirely. The market does the rest.

Why 7% and 4%?

7% is the approximate historical average return of a diversified US stock portfolio after inflation. 4% is the Trinity Study safe withdrawal rate — the amount you can withdraw annually with a high probability of not outliving your money over 30 years. Starting points, not guarantees.

Social Security is not included

This calculator uses your full annual expenses to derive your FIRE target. If you expect Social Security income in retirement, your actual portfolio target may be lower — because SS typically covers 30–50% of expenses for average earners. Including it would produce a smaller Coast FIRE number and an earlier coast date. The tradeoff: SS estimates depend on your claimed earnings history, your claiming age (62 vs. 70 produces roughly a 70% difference in monthly benefit), and whether the Social Security trust fund remains fully funded. The trust fund is projected to be depleted by the mid-2030s, which would trigger an automatic ~23% benefit reduction without Congressional action. Enter your full expenses here for the conservative (portfolio-only) calculation. Check your actual SS estimate at ssa.gov/my-account.

This calculator is for educational purposes only. It assumes constant returns, no Social Security income, and does not account for taxes, inflation variability, or sequence of returns risk. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making significant financial decisions.